With reference to the distribution of casulties as a result of the corona virus by Cirillo and Taleb being similair to the distribution of casulties as a result of a war. It’s resulting effects on survivors and their immediate family that’s critical in the next few years or decade.
Highly skilled and semi skilled workers when displaced from wars found that their knowledge/skill levels decayed over time and may have had to accept lesser roles thus an increase the competition for those lesser roles. The Australian government has identified that keeping business running is important, i.e. it’s trying to stop the number of business from closing permanently and sacking workers.
After the wars some individuals that lost their civilian jobs and or their accommodation ended up living in shanty huts made from scrap materials. The government forcibly moved individuals out of their shanty huts that lined the River Torrens banks in Adelaide for a decade after the war ended.
When the economic stimulus ends in Australia after six months there is going to be allot of economic distress. Some individuals who have lost their job or business and are not able to secure another job may be evicted if renting. Those with home loans may loose their home. So in effect renters will be forced out so the landlord can reoccupy their house. Even though shanty huts lining the River Torrens in Adelaide for the next 10 years is probably not going to happen again. The Australian government may be faced with a housing crisis as the state runs out of low cost housing and space in caravan parks. One option as we run out of available accommodation capacity may be units normally reserved for foreign students, to avoid families and individuals living in the park lands in tents this coming winter which is fast approaching.
With the debate on wearing masks in Australia it’s worth looking at some other points of view, Huang S. COVID-19: Why we should all wear masks – There is a new scientific rationale and Wölfel, R. et al. Virological assessment of hospitalized patients with COVID-2019. Nature https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2196-x (2020).
Along with explanations from Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his tweets, see full tweet conversation to understand the background to Taleb’s comments.
To summarise Taleb’s argument: It looks like asymptomatic corona virus infected people (people who are infected with the corona virus but with non of the symptoms) can pass the corona virus on. The asymmetry concept is that if you are asymptomatic (i.e. have the corona virus) the mask will stop you spreading it. Since we don’t know who is asymptomatic and who is free of the corona virus the best solution is for all to wear a mask.
The SA State Government has begun fast tracking recruitment of nurses and midwives with a range of skills including intensive care, home care
Health: A collection of coronavirus (COVID-19) campaign resources for the general public as produced by the SA Health. These include
Health: The South Australian Health department has set up numerous COVID-19 Clinics and Testing Centres. For the Drive-through Testing at the Repat and Home Testing all patients need a referral from their GP to access these services. Nine people in South Australia have today tested positive for COVID-19. There have now been a total of 29 confirmed cases in South Australia. Source: SA Health Covid-19 Update 16 March 2020
Health: In Australia 3 March 2020, It’s been reported that individuals are stock piling medical supplies, which include hand cleaners and masks. There are also reports of food and other supplies being hoarded.
Tourism: For the last 2 years overseas visitor arrivals to Australia (Short term trips: The number of international border crossings rather than the number of people) have been trending upwards from ~740,000 in August 2017 to just over 810,000 in August 2019 a 0.9% increase since the previous month of 812,600 trips, source ABS.
Grand parents in SA help more when it comes to childcare
In a recent ABS publications it was found that South Australian grand parents provide just over 8% more informal care at 34.1% compared to the national average of 25.7%. Source: ABS Childhood Education and Care, Australia, Data cubes, June 2011. Could this be a conscious sacrifice that South Australian grand parents make so their family stays in South Australia rather than move interstate?
For all Australians that experience time off during Easter will notice that it is a holiday period that changes. The Easter period follows the Gregorian calendar where the date is determined by the first full moon after the equinox, (equal amount of day to night hours) while for the Orthodox faith follows the Julian calendar. This year 2017 Easter is celebrated at the same time. One aspect of the Easter is the crucifixion of Christ where we are reminded of the Christ’s sacrifice. On closer examination of the image of Christ on the crucifix we will see a thorny crown around his head with blood pouring from where the thorns have pierced his skin.
What is the background of the thorny crown, where did it come from and how was it made? There are numerous trees and bushes that could be used to make the thorny crown. The actual tree that was used to make the thorny crown over 2014 years ago was the Hawthorn berry tree. There are a large number of Hawthorn tree species, but the most common in Adelaide, South Australia are the red and yellow berry varieties. The red hawthorn berry trees have thorns while the yellow variety don’t.
To recreate the thorny crown involved first harvesting a number of thin branches from the red Hawthorn berry tree. The branch ends were placed in water over night to keep them fresh. The next day the leaves were removed and the first branch was tuned in to an oval shape and a couple more branches were inter twined and then trimmed to produce the thorny crown as seen below. It took about 2 hours with care to avoid the thorns. No string was used allowing the forces of the branches to hold the shape. The largest thorn shown below was approximately 3 cm in length. The thorns are sharp and well reinforced, so would not only make a hole in the skin but could tear the skin if dragged across it. With a number of thorns turning inwards an individual wearing a thorny crown would certainly experience some of the thorns piecing their skin in places. The question we pose could it have been possible for the thorns to have actually scratched Christ’s skull and left some marks?